Somewhere in between.
Yes, it is a stretch, if you haven't gone over 15 miles at once... here's my question: how often are you doing that? If you're doing that every day, you might be okay fitness wise.
What is your route going to be?
If you're riding with traffic, then what kind of attention will you be able to give your riding when you start getting fatigued? When I did my "long commute" - a 50 mile ride to a bike meeting last weekend, and back the next day - I did a lot of work finding a route (the direct route would have been 40 miles... but I'd be more likely to be squished by a car - and basically, it wouldn't have been fun). (And I've been riding 100+ miles per week.) I get stupid when I get tired, so I don't set myself up to have to do a "thinking ride" then.



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). My longest ride of this season had been 30 miles but I rode mostly 15 miles 2-3 times a week. I attempted GRABAAWR and lasted 3 days, each day around 60 miles. The first two days were fine, my legs were really sore the 3rd day so take it at your own pace and enjoy!
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But I'd been riding 15-20 pretty regularly, so it was something of a challenge, but definitely do-able. Be prepared with tools, patches, pump, plenty of food and water, and ... Have fun!

