Quote Originally Posted by Eden View Post
This is one of the top questions that novice racers ask, but there really is no simple answer. The thing is, in road racing (not triathlon, not time trialing) it's about way more than simply average speed. It's about tactics, recovery, ability to respond to accelerations, bike handling - lots and lots of things. Unless you are that person who can easily just ride away from everyone else, there really is no predicting how well you'll do in a race by trying to compare it with a training ride, so don't worry about it, just get out there and experience it.
I completely agree with Eden.

I ride in the recreation group, which is on the fast side for a biking recreation group. We average 14-17mph in 34miles 2500 feet elevation usually. I am not anywhere near as good as our beginner racers who are in the Intermediate group and they average 17-20 mph over the same course.

Good luck with your racing!