I'm in MI, too. For walking you may want more layers, but for running it has to be really cold for me to wear more than a baselayer and a fleece. If it's windy and cold I may throw on a windbreaker, but the soft-shell would be too warm unless it is below 0. The softshell with a baselayer is probably a good plan for walking if it's around freezing. You really will heat up during a run. I often start cold and then after a mile or so strip off a layer and tie it around my waist.



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