Lance predictions for the NYC Marathon??

[Tri Girl]

My boy Lance is running his first mary this weekend. Yeah! More Lance news!
Ok, so how do you think he'll do this weekend at the NYC Marathon? In the article in Runner's World he was talking about how fast a runner he is (and I'd kill for half his speed knowing how fast a stud he was in his triathlete days). He's predicting somehere around 2:45. He had admitted to not training very much, although I suspect he's trained a lot more than he's let on. You can't make your marathon debut as Lance Armstrong and not have trained your tail off. What do you think? It will be interesting to see how he does as an endurance runner. Hmmmm..... do you think Vegas is taking wagers???
No pressure, Lance, only the whole world is watching you. No pressure!

Oh yes, my prediction? I think he'll start hurting about mile 20-21 like most people (but pain is not new to him and he has such a high tolerance) but I think he'll run a sub 3 for sure. I'm guessing 2:44.