How long is the race? How much do you normally eat and drink on a hilly ride that long?
Don't worry about being dropped. That is a very common occurrence for a first race. Worry more about planning ahead against the bonk, getting warmed up, and some tactical things.
If you're worried about being dropped on the climbs, you can take a couple of approaches. First, if you have a descent leading to a climb, get as far to the front as possible. Then you can slowly drift back through the pack on the climb instead of being left behind. Then use the next descent and flat area to regain position. If it's a long climb without any momentum builder before it, take it at your pace. Do not start from the back (you want to optimally be in the top 1/3 of the pack at all times if possible), but do not get worried about those who attack the bottom of the climb. Just take it at your pace, and you may be surprised at how many people you wind up passing who went too hard too early (they took hill climbing approach #1 but at the wrong time).
If you get dropped (passed by your race's follow official), just obey the rules of the road, and keep on going unless the head officials signal that your race is over for the day when you pass by the s/f line for the next lap. They will be clearly pulling you from the race. Chances are good this won't happen. It depends on how crowded the course is, mainly. Do not worry about a flat kit, particularly if other races are out on the course at the same time or if the loop is short. There will be officials and support vehicles out there. If you have spare wheels, put them in the wheel truck so that you can get a new wheel if you flat. If not, then grab a ride from the truck or follow car or flag down someone who can get assistance for you. If it's hilly and you get dropped chances are you won't be alone. If you are dropped at the same time as others, work WITH them to keep your distance from the pack minimal. The only reason for not working with them is if they are much slower than you, and it'd be more worth your while to time trial the rest of the race than to hang out with those people. You may be able to catch back on to the pack because you're strong on other parts of the course. If not, that's ok. You still might not be DFL. If you are, though, who cares? Lots of people wind up there in the first race. You will learn from it, and things can only improve from there!
I only carry food in my jersey if needed, usually Clif Shot Bloks. Eat/drink before you need to. Try to plan ahead for some places where it'd be good to do so given the terrain. You may want to take clues from when the person in front of you grabs a drink. I find I eat a lot more in road races than most in my field, because I feel that I need the carbs and electrolytes, so I have to plan that out based on how I feel. I also use my HRM for some guidance. If it's short, I won't take food but use one bottle for a sports drink and one for water. I will drink the sports drink first. No use in eating too late for it to do you any good.
The warmup depends on the length of the race and how your body likes to work. For longer road races, my warmup is a lot less than for a criterium or TT. Just be sure you get your heart rate up some and challenge your legs a bit, and you're fine. The longer the race, the more conservative the warmup, generally. You don't want to burn all your matches before you race. Personally, I find that it's a good strategy to do a pretty difficult warmup very early (the longest has been around 8 miles with a couple significant climbs). Then I rest, eat, rehydrate, and then I may do a light spin right before the race. That just works for me, because otherwise, it could be an hour before I feel warmed up, and I don't want to ride for an hour before a road race. Everyone is different. When do you feel warmed up on one of your typical training rides? Use that as a guide. Then keep experimenting as you keep racing if you don't feel quite right this time. The biggest factor for me is when my start time is. Sometimes I just can't get the proper warmup in for an 8am race that is 1hr drive away, for example. So I just try to deal. Warm up on the trainer or on the road, depending on what is available to you at the race location.
Back to tactics. Like I said, you want to try to stay near the front. You don't want to be ON the front, unless you are attacking (OFF the front) or are trying to lay down the hurt or are chasing down a break. Being near the front means that you won't get stuck in a bad spot if a break forms and the lady in front of you can't go with it. You also have a better chance of not being held up by a wreck. You will also be prepared for tactic #2: Beware of surges out of corners. Due to the accordion effect of a turn, many of the racers at the front will hit a sharp turn (such as an intersection) and then sprint off. This is generally a short effort unless someone is seriously attacking, so if you aren't way back at the end of the accordion, you will be able to catch on easily enough by the time the pace settles back down. So, plan your turn to help you. If you like to spin up or if the turn goes uphill, shift down before the turn so you aren't stuck by a huge gear. If you prefer to stand and surge to hop back on, don't put yourself in too light a gear. The better your positioning, the more you can respond to surges in the pace at any point without blowing up. The less you have to chase, the less energy you waste. Sticking in the pack also helps, because you get the benefit of the draft.
Finally, keep your eyes alert for who seems to be stable and strong. Find a good safe wheel like that and stick on it as much as you can. Also take note of who is really squirrelly and should be avoided for safety reasons. If you find yourself near them, then you are prepared.



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I loved the bit about your quad popping out of your skin, and you just toppling over at the finish - nothing like giving it your all!
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